ADT INC.

ADT

CIK 0001703056 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$1.28B
↑+1.2% +$16Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$333M
↑+8.9% +$27Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$145M
↓-23.5% -$45Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$1.28B
↑+1.2% +$16Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Poor
22/100
  • Profitability
    16ROIC 8.1% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    22Current Ratio 0.93 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    0D/E 2.06 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    9Asset Turnover 0.32x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    21Revenue YoY +1.2% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    65Op Margin 26.1% · trend +0.9pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project ADT's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

3%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was -0.1%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$32.03
Total enterprise IV
$23.85B
Diluted shares
0.74B
Terminal PV
$16.81B (70% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$1.98B
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$1.76B$1.60B
+2$1.81B$1.50B
+3$1.87B$1.40B
+4$1.92B$1.31B
+5$1.98B$1.23B
Terminal$27.07B$16.81B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$176M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
$187M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$607M
share count reduction

Balance sheet · 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$15.82B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$12.04B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$3.78B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$7.72B
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance · 38 quarters

Revenue↑+1.2% +$16M
$1.28B
Net Income↓-23.5% -$45M
$145M
Free Cash Flow↓-24.1% -$102M
$324M
Operating Margin↑+1.8pts
26.1%

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