Allison Transmission Holdings Inc

ALSN

CIK 0001411207 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$737M
↓-7.4% -$59Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$171M
↓-27.2% -$64Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$99M
↓-43.4% -$76Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$354M
↓-5.1% -$19Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Weak
37/100
  • Profitability
    52ROIC 15.4% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    100Current Ratio 4.85 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    22D/E 1.56 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    25Asset Turnover 0.53x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    0Revenue YoY -7.4% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    23Op Margin 23.2% · trend -1.6pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project ALSN's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

10%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 10.5%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$145.16
Total enterprise IV
$12.34B
Diluted shares
0.09B
Terminal PV
$9.03B (73% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$1.06B
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$727M$661M
+2$800M$661M
+3$880M$661M
+4$968M$661M
+5$1.06B$661M
Terminal$14.55B$9.03B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$175M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
$91M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$328M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$27M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$6.08B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$4.21B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$1.87B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$1.41B
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance · 60 quarters

Revenue↓-7.4% -$59M
$737M
Net Income↓-43.4% -$76M
$99M
Free Cash Flow↑+24.3% +$33M
$169M
Operating Margin↓-6.3pts
23.2%

Drill down