Expedia Group, Inc.

EXPE

CIK 0001324424 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$3.55B
↑+11.4% +$363Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$420M
↑+94.4% +$204Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$205M
↑+70.8% +$85Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$3.20B
↑+12.4% +$352Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Average
45/100
  • Profitability
    75ROIC 20.0% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    12Current Ratio 0.73 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    0D/E 4.80 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    33Asset Turnover 0.63x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    55Revenue YoY +11.4% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    97Op Margin 11.8% · trend +2.8pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project EXPE's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

4%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 3.8%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$343.27
Total enterprise IV
$45.29B
Diluted shares
0.13B
Terminal PV
$32.11B (71% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$3.78B
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$3.23B$2.94B
+2$3.36B$2.78B
+3$3.50B$2.63B
+4$3.64B$2.48B
+5$3.78B$2.35B
Terminal$51.71B$32.11B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$770M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
$200M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$1.93B
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$398M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$24.45B
everything owned
Stockholders' equity
$1.28B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$748M
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance · 67 quarters

Revenue↑+11.4% +$363M
$3.55B
Net Income↓-31.4% -$94M
$205M
Free Cash Flow↑+1600.0% +$112M
$119M
Operating Margin↑+5.1pts
11.8%

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