GXO LOGISTICS, INC.

GXO

CIK 0001852244 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$3.51B
↑+7.9% +$257Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$94M
↓-6.9% -$7Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$3.51B
↑+7.9% +$257Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Weak
42/100
  • Profitability
    0ROIC 4.1% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    17Current Ratio 0.85 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    68D/E 0.65 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    71Asset Turnover 1.12x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    43Revenue YoY +7.9% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    51Op Margin 2.7% · trend +0.1pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project GXO's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

3%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was -18.1%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$13.20
Total enterprise IV
$1.54B
Diluted shares
0.12B
Terminal PV
$1.08B (70% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$128M
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$113M$103M
+2$117M$96M
+3$120M$90M
+4$124M$85M
+5$128M$79M
Terminal$1.74B$1.08B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$324M
investment in PP&E
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$200M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$47M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$12.26B
everything owned
Stockholders' equity
$2.98B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$771M
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance · 23 quarters

Revenue↑+7.9% +$257M
$3.51B
Net Income↑+78.8% +$26M
$59M
Free Cash Flow↑+40.2% +$33M
$115M
Operating Margin↓-0.4pts
2.7%

Drill down