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HOWARD HUGHES HOLDINGS INC.

HHH

CIK 0001981792 Β· Quarterly mode Β· latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) Β· sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance Β· FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$624M
↓-36.5% -$359Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$26M
↓-90.0% -$234Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$3M
↓-98.0% -$153Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$624M
↓-36.5% -$359Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot Β· latest annual filed values Β· S&P 500 calibration

Poor
5/100
  • Profitability
    0ROIC 2.9% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    0Insufficient data
  • Leverage
    32D/E 1.35 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    0Asset Turnover 0.14x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    0Revenue YoY -36.5% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    0Op Margin 4.2% Β· trend -5.9pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project HHH's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

12%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 12.4%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≀ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$166.93
Total enterprise IV
$9.36B
Diluted shares
0.06B
Terminal PV
$6.91B (74% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$815M
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$518M$471M
+2$580M$479M
+3$650M$488M
+4$728M$497M
+5$815M$506M
Terminal$11.14B$6.91B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target β€” and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation Β· trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Stock buybacks (TTM)
β€”
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$20M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet Β· 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$10.64B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$6.80B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$3.78B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$3.64B
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance Β· 14 quarters

Revenue↓-36.5% -$359M
$624M
Net Income↓-97.2% -$152M
$4M
Free Cash Flow↑+6.9% +$23M
$360M
Operating Margin↓-22.3pts
4.2%

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