EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS, INC.

LOCO

CIK 0001606366 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$124M
↑+8.1% +$9Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$10M
↑+14.1% +$1Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$7M
↑+9.9% +$587Kvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$124M
↑+8.1% +$9Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Weak
42/100
  • Profitability
    19ROIC 8.8% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    0Current Ratio 0.32 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    91D/E 0.18 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    48Asset Turnover 0.82x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    44Revenue YoY +8.1% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    48Op Margin 8.3% · trend -0.1pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project LOCO's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

11%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 10.9%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$16.82
Total enterprise IV
$495M
Diluted shares
0.03B
Terminal PV
$364M (74% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$43M
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$28M$26M
+2$31M$26M
+3$35M$26M
+4$39M$26M
+5$43M$27M
Terminal$586M$364M

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$23M
investment in PP&E
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$2M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$5M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$607M
everything owned
Total liabilities
$316M
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$291M
shareholder claim
Net debt
$45M
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance · 53 quarters

Revenue↑+8.1% +$9M
$124M
Net Income↑+9.9% +$587K
$7M
Free Cash Flow↑+349.3% +$4M
$5M
Operating Margin↑+0.4pts
8.3%

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