Mister Car Wash, Inc.

MCW

CIK 0001853513 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$261M
↑+4.0% +$10Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$41M
↑+29.7% +$9Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$20M
↑+118.9% +$11Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$261M
↑+4.0% +$10Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Weak
31/100
  • Profitability
    13ROIC 7.6% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    0Current Ratio 0.32 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    65D/E 0.70 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    10Asset Turnover 0.34x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    30Revenue YoY +4.0% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    68Op Margin 15.8% · trend +1.1pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project MCW's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

3%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was -6.9%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$1.27
Total enterprise IV
$423M
Diluted shares
0.33B
Terminal PV
$298M (70% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$35M
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$31M$28M
+2$32M$27M
+3$33M$25M
+4$34M$23M
+5$35M$22M
Terminal$480M$298M

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$255M
investment in PP&E
Stock buybacks (TTM)
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$27M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$3.17B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$2.04B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$1.13B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$768M
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance · 25 quarters

Revenue↑+4.0% +$10M
$261M
Net Income↑+118.9% +$11M
$20M
Free Cash Flow↑+17.8% +$4M
$-17M
Operating Margin↑+3.1pts
15.8%

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