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MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS, INC.

MWA

CIK 0001350593 Β· Quarterly mode Β· latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) Β· sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance Β· FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$318M
↑+4.6% +$14Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$57M
↑+19.6% +$9Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$43M
↑+22.4% +$8Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$120M
↑+16.3% +$17Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot Β· latest annual filed values Β· S&P 500 calibration

Strong
67/100
  • Profitability
    45ROIC 14.0% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    100Current Ratio 4.02 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    78D/E 0.44 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    46Asset Turnover 0.80x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    32Revenue YoY +4.6% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    100Op Margin 17.8% Β· trend +3.5pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project MWA's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

8%

Trailing CAGR unavailable; default 8%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≀ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$18.79
Total enterprise IV
$2.96B
Diluted shares
0.16B
Terminal PV
$2.14B (72% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$253M
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$186M$169M
+2$201M$166M
+3$217M$163M
+4$234M$160M
+5$253M$157M
Terminal$3.45B$2.14B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target β€” and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation Β· trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$53M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
$42M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$21M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$12M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet Β· 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$1.85B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$829M
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$1.02B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$296M
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance Β· 65 quarters

Revenue↑+4.6% +$14M
$318M
Net Income↑+22.4% +$8M
$43M
Free Cash Flow↑+4.3% +$2M
$44M
Operating Margin↑+2.2pts
17.8%

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