OLLIE’S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDINGS, INC.

OLLI

CIK 0001639300 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2026 (Q4) (ending 2026-01-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2026 (Q4)

Revenue
$779M
↑+16.8% +$112Mvs FY2025 (Q1)
Operating Income
$109M
↑+24.4% +$21Mvs FY2025 (Q1)
Net Income
$86M
↑+24.8% +$17Mvs FY2025 (Q1)
Gross Profit
$311M
↑+14.5% +$39Mvs FY2025 (Q1)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Strong
67/100
  • Profitability
    38ROIC 12.6% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    95Current Ratio 2.41 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    82D/E 0.35 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    59Asset Turnover 0.96x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    73Revenue YoY +16.8% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    53Op Margin 14.0% · trend +0.2pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project OLLI's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

25%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 45.9%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$105.11
Total enterprise IV
$6.49B
Diluted shares
0.06B
Terminal PV
$5.04B (78% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$594M
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$243M$221M
+2$304M$251M
+3$380M$286M
+4$475M$325M
+5$594M$369M
Terminal$8.12B$5.04B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$102M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$74M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$13M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2026-01-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$2.95B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$1.07B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$1.89B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$-62M
Net cash position ($62M)

Recent performance · 50 quarters

Revenue↑+16.8% +$112M
$779M
Net Income↑+24.8% +$17M
$86M
Free Cash Flow↑+33.2% +$41M
$164M
Operating Margin↑+0.8pts
14.0%

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