DOUGLAS DYNAMICS, INC

PLOW

CIK 0001287213 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$185M
↑+28.6% +$41Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$19M
↑+49.0% +$6Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$13M
↑+62.3% +$5Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$48M
↑+34.7% +$12Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Average
64/100
  • Profitability
    42ROIC 13.4% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    100Current Ratio 2.78 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    74D/E 0.51 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    68Asset Turnover 1.08x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    100Revenue YoY +28.6% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    0Op Margin 10.5% · trend -3.7pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project PLOW's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

25%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 32.2%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$90.18
Total enterprise IV
$2.13B
Diluted shares
0.02B
Terminal PV
$1.65B (78% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$195M
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$80M$73M
+2$100M$82M
+3$125M$94M
+4$156M$106M
+5$195M$121M
Terminal$2.66B$1.65B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$15M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
$28M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$6M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$7M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$627M
everything owned
Stockholders' equity
$281M
shareholder claim
Net debt
$137M
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance · 63 quarters

Revenue↑+28.6% +$41M
$185M
Net Income↑+62.3% +$5M
$13M
Free Cash Flow↑+26.3% +$18M
$89M
Operating Margin↑+1.4pts
10.5%

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