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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈUS Markets

SM Energy Co

SM

CIK 0000893538 Β· Quarterly mode Β· latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) Β· sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance Β· FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$705M
↓-17.3% -$147Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$182M
↓-36.5% -$105Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$109M
↓-42.0% -$79Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$498M
↓-21.9% -$139Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot Β· latest annual filed values Β· S&P 500 calibration

Poor
24/100
  • Profitability
    57ROIC 16.4% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    10Current Ratio 0.69 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    68D/E 0.64 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    11Asset Turnover 0.34x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    0Revenue YoY -17.3% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    0Op Margin 25.9% Β· trend -8.7pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project SM's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

6%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 6.0%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≀ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$276.93
Total enterprise IV
$31.85B
Diluted shares
0.12B
Terminal PV
$22.84B (72% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$2.69B
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$2.13B$1.94B
+2$2.26B$1.87B
+3$2.40B$1.80B
+4$2.54B$1.73B
+5$2.69B$1.67B
Terminal$36.78B$22.84B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target β€” and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation Β· trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Dividends paid (TTM)
$92M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$13M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$29M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet Β· 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$9.25B
everything owned
Stockholders' equity
$4.81B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$1.20B
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance Β· 67 quarters

Revenue↓-17.3% -$147M
$705M
Net Income↓-42.0% -$79M
$109M
Free Cash Flow↓-21.9% -$126M
$452M
Operating Margin↓-7.9pts
25.9%

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