STUBHUB HOLDINGS, INC.

STUB

CIK 0001337634 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$449M
↓-15.8% -$84Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$367M
↑+403.5% +$294Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$373M
↓-7.9% -$32Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Poor
12/100
  • Profitability
    0ROIC -36.0% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    27Current Ratio 1.04 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    36D/E 1.27 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    11Asset Turnover 0.34x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    0Revenue YoY -15.8% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    0Op Margin -292.3% · trend -300.5pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project STUB's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

3%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was -14.5%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$8.36
Total enterprise IV
$2.67B
Diluted shares
0.32B
Terminal PV
$1.88B (70% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$222M
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$197M$179M
+2$203M$168M
+3$209M$157M
+4$215M$147M
+5$222M$138M
Terminal$3.03B$1.88B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$563K
investment in PP&E
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$1M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$1.45B
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$5.05B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$3.11B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$1.18B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$265M
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance · 9 quarters

Revenue↓-15.8% -$84M
$449M
Net Income↓-3821.6% -$1.26B
$-1.29B
Free Cash Flow↓-97.3% -$399M
$11M
Operating Margin↓-295.1pts
-292.3%

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