TIMKEN CO

TKR

CIK 0000098362 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$1.11B
↑+3.5% +$37Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$109M
↓-3.2% -$4Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$62M
↓-12.5% -$9Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$325M
↑+0.1% +$200Kvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Average
46/100
  • Profitability
    16ROIC 8.3% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    100Current Ratio 2.82 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    70D/E 0.60 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    38Asset Turnover 0.70x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    28Revenue YoY +3.5% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    25Op Margin 9.8% · trend -1.5pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project TKR's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

12%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 12.5%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$117.00
Total enterprise IV
$8.22B
Diluted shares
0.07B
Terminal PV
$6.07B (74% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$716M
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$455M$413M
+2$509M$421M
+3$571M$429M
+4$639M$436M
+5$716M$444M
Terminal$9.78B$6.07B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$148M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
$98M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$57M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$28M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$6.68B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$2.90B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$3.18B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$1.53B
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance · 68 quarters

Revenue↑+3.5% +$37M
$1.11B
Net Income↓-12.5% -$9M
$62M
Free Cash Flow↑+12.6% +$16M
$141M
Operating Margin↓-0.7pts
9.8%

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