Toll Brothers, Inc.

TOL

CIK 0000794170 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2026 (Q4) (ending 2026-01-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2026 (Q4)

Revenue
$2.15B
↑+15.4% +$286Mvs FY2025 (Q4)
Operating Income
$219M
↓-0.0% -$76Kvs FY2025 (Q4)
Net Income
$211M
↑+18.7% +$33Mvs FY2025 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$477M
↑+3.8% +$17Mvs FY2025 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Poor
29/100
  • Profitability
    56ROIC 16.2% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    0Insufficient data
  • Leverage
    0Insufficient data
  • Efficiency
    45Asset Turnover 0.79x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    68Revenue YoY +15.4% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    6Op Margin 10.2% · trend -2.7pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project TOL's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

4%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 3.9%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$149.78
Total enterprise IV
$14.95B
Diluted shares
0.10B
Terminal PV
$10.60B (71% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$1.25B
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$1.07B$970M
+2$1.11B$917M
+3$1.15B$867M
+4$1.20B$820M
+5$1.25B$775M
Terminal$17.06B$10.60B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$88M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
$98M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$678M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$32M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2026-01-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$14.43B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$6.01B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$8.41B
shareholder claim

Recent performance · 67 quarters

Revenue↑+15.4% +$286M
$2.15B
Net Income↑+18.7% +$33M
$211M
Free Cash Flow↑+97.4% +$427M
$-12M
Operating Margin↓-1.6pts
10.2%

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