TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/

TSCO

CIK 0000916365 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-27) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$3.90B
↑+3.3% +$125Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$298M
↓-6.5% -$21Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$227M
↓-3.8% -$9Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$1.37B
↑+3.0% +$40Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Strong
68/100
  • Profitability
    100ROIC 33.7% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    42Current Ratio 1.34 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    97D/E 0.06 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    100Asset Turnover 1.50x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    28Revenue YoY +3.3% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    43Op Margin 7.6% · trend -0.4pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project TSCO's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

8%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 8.3%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$23.94
Total enterprise IV
$12.74B
Diluted shares
0.53B
Terminal PV
$9.23B (72% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$1.09B
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$800M$727M
+2$864M$714M
+3$933M$701M
+4$1.01B$688M
+5$1.09B$676M
Terminal$14.87B$9.23B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$895M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
$488M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$359M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$57M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2025-12-27

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$10.93B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$8.35B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$2.58B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$-44M
Net cash position ($44M)

Recent performance · 67 quarters

Revenue↑+3.3% +$125M
$3.90B
Net Income↑+363.6% +$860M
$1.10B
Free Cash Flow↓-78.1% -$212M
$59M
Operating Margin↓-0.8pts
7.6%

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