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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈUS Markets

VALLEY NATIONAL BANCORP

VLY

CIK 0000714310 Β· Quarterly mode Β· latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) Β· sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance Β· FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$816M
↓-2.3% -$19Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$808M
↓-2.2% -$18Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$195M
↑+119.4% +$106Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$816M
↓-2.3% -$19Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot Β· latest annual filed values Β· S&P 500 calibration

Poor
13/100
  • Profitability
    0Insufficient data
  • Liquidity
    0Insufficient data
  • Leverage
    68D/E 0.63 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    0Asset Turnover 0.05x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    9Revenue YoY -2.3% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    0Insufficient data

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project VLY's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

3%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was -37.9%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≀ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$8.06
Total enterprise IV
$4.55B
Diluted shares
0.56B
Terminal PV
$3.20B (70% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$378M
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$336M$305M
+2$346M$286M
+3$356M$267M
+4$367M$250M
+5$378M$234M
Terminal$5.16B$3.20B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target β€” and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation Β· trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$18M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
$249M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$63M
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$27M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet Β· 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$64.13B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$56.33B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$7.81B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$1.82B
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance Β· 67 quarters

Revenue↓-2.3% -$19M
$816M
Net Income↑+68.9% +$80M
$195M
Free Cash Flow↓-51.4% -$198M
$188M

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