ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS, INC.

WMS

CIK 0001604028 · Quarterly mode · latest period FY2025 (Q4) (ending 2025-12-31) · sourced from SEC EDGAR

At a glance · FY2025 (Q4)

Revenue
$693M
↑+0.4% +$3Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Operating Income
$137M
↑+7.9% +$10Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Net Income
$94M
↑+15.3% +$12Mvs FY2024 (Q4)
Gross Profit
$259M
↑+7.3% +$18Mvs FY2024 (Q4)

Quality Score

Quality score

6-dimension fundamental snapshot · latest annual filed values · S&P 500 calibration

Average
57/100
  • Profitability
    71ROIC 19.2% (10% = solid, 20%+ = moat)
  • Liquidity
    100Current Ratio 3.33 (above 1.5 = solid)
  • Leverage
    59D/E 0.82 (under 0.5 = conservative)
  • Efficiency
    49Asset Turnover 0.83x (1.0+ = capital-efficient)
  • Growth
    18Revenue YoY +0.4% (10% = solid, 25%+ = elite)
  • Margin Trend
    46Op Margin 19.7% · trend -0.2pts (4Q avg vs prior 4Q)

Calibrated to S&P 500 medians. Each sub-score is computed from a single CFA-grade ratio (Profitability = ROIC, Liquidity = Current Ratio, Leverage = D/E, Efficiency = Asset Turnover, Growth = Revenue YoY, Margin Trend = 4Q operating-margin avg vs prior 4Q). Overall = simple mean.

DCF intrinsic value

DCF intrinsic value

two-stage Gordon model

Project WMS's free cash flow forward, discount back at your hurdle rate, divide by diluted shares. Edit the assumptions to see how sensitive the intrinsic value is.

25%

Trailing 3-yr CAGR was 43.1%

10%

10% is a common all-equity benchmark for US large-caps

2.5%

Should be ≤ long-run GDP growth (~2.5% nominal)

5

5-year explicit projection + perpetuity terminal

Intrinsic value per share
$157.22
Total enterprise IV
$12.29B
Diluted shares
0.08B
Terminal PV
$9.54B (78% of total)
Year-5 FCF
$1.12B
YearProjected FCFDiscounted PV
+1$461M$419M
+2$576M$476M
+3$720M$541M
+4$900M$615M
+5$1.12B$698M
Terminal$15.37B$9.54B

DCF outputs are HIGHLY sensitive to growth + WACC assumptions. A 1pp WACC change can shift IV by 20%+. Use this as a sanity-check vs market price, not a target — and always cross-check the underlying FCF source (EDGAR cashflow statement, latest annual). Margin of safety convention: 30-50% discount to IV before buying.

Capital allocation · trailing 4 quarters

how the company spent its cash
Capex (TTM)
$243M
investment in PP&E
Dividends paid (TTM)
$55M
cash returned to holders
Stock buybacks (TTM)
$0
share count reduction
Stock-based comp (TTM)
$26M
non-cash dilution

Balance sheet · 2025-12-31

latest filed snapshot
Total assets
$4.14B
everything owned
Total liabilities
$2.12B
everything owed
Stockholders' equity
$1.93B
shareholder claim
Net debt
$268M
LT debt minus cash

Recent performance · 52 quarters

Revenue↑+0.4% +$3M
$693M
Net Income↑+15.3% +$12M
$94M
Free Cash Flow↑+35.3% +$48M
$184M
Operating Margin↑+1.4pts
19.7%

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